Ligue 1 odds: PSG Rennes prediction, picks how to watch
Round 28 of France’s Ligue 1 will be about this exciting game between top-placed Paris Saint-Germain (21-3-3) and sixth-placed Rennes (14-5-8). Check out our analysis of the Ligue 1 odds series which includes our prediction and select the PSG-Rennes game.
After being eliminated in the Coupe de France and the UEFA Champions League, Paris Saint-Germain will focus on lifting the domestic title in France. Including this game, PSG will play 11 more games. They want to build on their 2-1 win over Stade Brestois.
Rennes have had just one win in their last four games. They were kicked out of the Europa League by Shakhtar Donetsk after a 5-4 result on penalties. They also lost 1-0 to Marseille and drew 0-0 at Auxerre. Like today’s hosts, Rennes are hoping to finish in the top four of France’s top flight.
Here are the PSG races football oddscourtesy of FanDuel.
Ligue 1 Odds: PSG Rennes Odds
Paris Saint Germain: -230
Stade Rennais: +550
Draw: +360
Over 2.5 goals: +178
Under 2.5 goals: -146
How to watch PSG vs Rennes
TV: beIN Sports USA, beIN SPORTS en Español, DAZN
Stream: beIN SPORTS CONNECT, Fanatic, Fubo TV, Sling World Sports, Sling Latino
Time: 12:05 p.m. ET / 9:05 a.m. PT
*Watch Football LIVE with fuboTV (Click for Free Trial)*
Why PSG can beat Rennes
PSG are top of the table in France with 21 wins and one draw from 27 games. They’ve already earned 66 points with a +42 goal difference. They have the second-best home record and have never lost a game at Parc des Princes.
Christophe Galtier’s side will focus solely on the France national teams for the remaining March games until June. They were kicked out of the Coupe de FrFrance in the round of 16 against Olympique de Marseille. Their journey to the Champions League ended in the hands of Bayern Munich in a 3-0 aggregate score. In the second leg against Bayern, Presnel Kimpembe and Neymar were absent, making it difficult for PSG to score despite four shots on target and a ball possession rate of 55%. PSG are back on home soil with a 2-1 win after a positive trip to Stade Brestois.
When you think of PSG, everyone assumes they know the dynamic trio of Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi and Neymar Jr. PSG’s top three have 45 goals and 27 assists. It is also worth noting the dynamic activity on offense by other players such as forward Hugo Ekitike, midfielders Carlos Soler, Warren Zaire-Emery, Renato Sanches and Danilo Pereira, and defenders Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Nuno Mendes and Sergio Ramos. Paris SG’s brilliant teamwork has resulted in 68 goals and 49 assists in 27 games, an absurd 2.5 goals per game. In addition, statistical data such as 60.5% ball possession, 90.1% accurate passes and 72.2% accurate long balls prove that the Red-Blues always show offensive set pieces in every game.
With PSG’s attacking tactics, it’s also imperative that the team maintain their solid defensive foundations. PSG can hold their own in this respect too, with goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma keeping 10 clean sheets in the league. The team concede just 0.7 goals in each game, thanks to brilliant defensive mastery from their solid back four. As a team, PSG allied 1.0 tackles, 7.7 interceptions, 9.8 clearances and 3.2 saves per game.
Neymar and Presnel Kimpembe are out for this game. Players like Marquinhos, Hakimi, Messi, Ramos and Nordi Mukiele have dubious status but most of them will start for this game. Vitinha is ready to start in forward, while Marco Verratti is joined in midfield by Fabian Ruiz and Zaire-Emery.
Why Rennes can beat PSG
Stade Rennes has been a bright spot this season, conceding just eight defeats in 27 Ligue 1 games. In the Qatar Sports Investments era, Rennes stood out among other French teams by beating PSG in Ligue 1, having done so five times. Rennes will be up for a challenge this time around as their 3-5-5 road record is only the 12th best mark in the league.
After finishing second in Group B of the Europa League, Rennes drew 2-1 at home in the second leg to force a 3-3 aggregate score and a penalty shoot-out. However, Shakhtar Donetsk defeated them 5–4 on penalties to advance to the next round. Rennes will play their third game in March. The last two games ended in a 1-0 defeat at Marseille and a goalless draw at Auxerre.
The team’s 45 goals, 29 of which came from assists, are a testament to the team’s playmaking skills. Their 84.4% passing accuracy and 60.6% long ball accuracy have resulted in nine, nine and six goals from Martin Terrier, Amine Gouiri and Arnaud Kalimuendo. In addition, Benjamin Bourigeaud and Adrien Truffert were the playmakers for Rennes. Desire Doue, Flavien Tait and Lovro Majer also each have four goal contributions for the team.
The Red-Blacks are also aggressive on their defense and have 16.4 tackles, 9.3 interceptions and 14.6 clearances per game. They split in winning duels against other teams, being victorious in 48.7% of ground duels and 52.7% of air duels. Steve Mandanda even made the top 10 goalies with eight clean sheets.
Bruno Genesio and his coaching staff are unlikely to use the services of Terrier, Lorenz Assignon and Jeremy Doku. Rennes’ win here will be hard-fought but securing the three points is likely to retain their place in the top four. Rennes have a chance of a league double against the hosts after a 1-0 win last January.
Final PSG-Rennes Prediction & Selection
This will be another exciting game. PSG certainly learned from their mistakes in their last game with today’s visitors. Support the hosts to maintain an unbeaten record at home. Rennes will certainly score at least one goal, but this game will be rich in goals.
