I didn’t think I would say this, but the Illinois basketball team plays Ohio State in a competitive game Tuesday night.
With 12 games to go, the Illini are 10th in the Big Ten, but only a game behind second place. We’re also comfortably in the bubble for the NCAA tournament, but a home game against Ohio State would impede the program’s progress.
Our record for Illinois betting this year is 4-5 moneyline, 3-6 spread and 5-5 over/under. I was way off the money line and spread against Indiana. But thanks to a few buckets of delay, more than 144.5 points were achieved.
Here are Illinois vs Ohio State basketball betting odds, predictions and match details.
Illinois Basketball vs. Ohio State – Moneyline
Despite the struggles against Indiana, the Illini go into the day as favorites against the Buckeyes. Illinois checks in at -175 while Ohio State gets +150.
This game makes me extremely nervous. Illinois has had a hard time holding off Indiana, and Ohio State has the same makeup as the Hoosiers.
The Buckeyes get a lot of their points in the paint, and the Illini are struggling to keep teams from scoring within the three-point arc this season.
55.2% of Ohio State’s points come from two-point shots, which ranks #63 in the state. 28.6% of their goals come from three-pointers and 16.2% from free throws. These two rank 248 and 281 respectively in the nation.
Ohio State likes to play within the three-point arc, and that’s the worst thing about the Illinois defense. Illini opponents score 55.5% of their points from two-point range. That ranks 318th out of 363 teams in DI basketball.
I realize Illinois fought a similar team in Indiana, but Matthew Mayer feels better. He couldn’t play much against the Hoosiers because of his illness. I think this game will be extremely close, but Mayer puts Illinois over the top.
Prediction – Illinois -175
Illinois Basketball vs. Ohio State Spread
Illinois was a six-point favorite at home against Indiana, and that didn’t go well. The Illini play a similar team in Ohio State and are now four-point favorites against the Buckeyes.
Everything I mentioned in the moneyline section carries over to the spread. The Illinois defense struggles to defend everything within the three-point arc, and that’s where Ohio State thrives.
Another thing that scares me is the defense of the state of Ohio. They give up just 66.7 points per game, which is 91st in the country.
I think the length of Illinois is going to cause problems for the state of Ohio. That’s why I believe the Illini will win. But I think this game ends pretty close when all is said and done.
The buckeyes are not blown out. While they’re only going 1-4 this season, they’re only losing those four games by an average of 5.5 points. One of these competitions actually went into overtime.
Look for this game to close the track. I think Illinois will walk away with the win, but this game is within a point when the final horn sounds.
Prediction – Ohio State +4
Illinois Basketball vs. Ohio State – Over/Under
The over/under in the Indiana game was 144.5 points and the game ended with 145 points. Against Ohio State, the Illini over/under is now 145 points.
There is a lot to consider when trying to predict over/under in this game. First I looked at the game speed. Illinois is faster with 72.7 possessions per game, ranking 71st in the country. Ohio State averages 70.2 possessions per game, ranking 180th nationally.
Illinois is a decently fast team, but we’re not good at shooting. We only hit our three-point mark at a clip of 33.5%, which ranks 195th in the country. We play fast, but we’re not particularly efficient.
Ohio State likes to play more inside-out basketball. Playing within the three-point arc is of course conducive to lower scoring games. The Buckeyes are one of the best teams in the country when they shoot threes, but they attempt only 19.2 threes per game, which ranks 281st in the nation.
I think the Buckeyes will slow this game down a lot. Only one of the last four games went over 145 points. Watch for Illinois to win this game, Ohio State to cover the four points and go under 145 points.
Prediction – Below 144.5 points
Illinois Basketball vs Ohio State Game Info
Date & Time: January 24 – 6:00 PM CT
Streaming: Fubo TV