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Boise State vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds: Week 13 College Football Picks, Best Bets Using Proven Model

The Boise State Broncos host the Utah State Aggies at Albertsons Stadium on Friday. Boise State secured a berth in the Mountain West title game this season with a 7-0 conference record. The Broncos are 8-3 overall and face a Utah State team that is 6-5. The Aggies are 5-2 against their Mountain West opponents, and Utah State has won five of their last six games overall.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Broncos as the 17-point home favorites for this midday ET opener. The total points Vegas believes will be scored, or the over/under, is 51.5 in the latest Utah State vs. Boise State odds. Before you make a choice between Boise State and Utah State, you need to look at SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model for college football predictions and betting advice.

Friday’s game can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

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The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. For the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering nearly $3,000 in profits for $100 players using its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. Boise State and just laid out its picks and CFB predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Well, here are some college football odds and betting lines for Boise State vs. Utah State:

  • Distribution Utah State vs. Boise State: Boise State -17
  • Utah State vs. Boise State Over/Under: 51.5 points
  • Utah State vs. Boise State money line: BSU -800, USU +550
  • USU: The Aggies are 4-3 against Spread in the last seven games
  • BSU: The Broncos are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games
  • Utah State vs. Boise State: See tips at SportsLine
  • Utah State vs Boise State Streaming: Paramount+

Featured Game | Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies

Why the state of Utah can cover

The Aggies have solid offensive metrics on their side. Utah State ranks in the top five in Mountain West for total offense, generating more than 350 yards per game, and the Aggies are averaging 162.1 rushing yards per contest. Calvin Tyler Jr. is the engine of the ground game, producing 978 rushing yards (No. 3 at Mountain West) and 128 receiving yards this season. On the outside, Brian Cobbs is No. 4 in the conference with 769 receiving yards and he has 63 receptions this season.

On the other hand, the state of Utah is particularly stingy with pass defense. The Aggies only allow 196.5 yards per game, and opponents average just 6.8 yards per pass attempt while completing just 53.1% of passes. Utah State has 11 interceptions and 22 sacks in 11 games, putting constant pressure on the opposition.

Why Boise State can cover

Boise State has arguably the best defense in the Mountain West this season, and the Broncos are also very strong on offense. Boise State is in the top three in the conference in offense (383.1 yards per game) and scoring offense (29.1 points per game), and the Broncos are rushing yards per game 188.8. Boise State has the second most touchdowns (23) in the Mountain West, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. The Broncos are in the top five in passing yards per game, and Boise State has conceded just 13 sacks in 11 games.

Boise State is a top-three team in third-down efficiency (39.7%), and Utah State is in the bottom three of the conference in total defense and rushing defense while only 29.5 points per game gives up. Quarterback Taylen Green has six touchdowns and no interceptions in his last four games, averaging 238.5 passing yards per game and three scores on the floor. Running back George Holani has at least 100 rushing yards in five of their last six games, and Boise State has a tremendous arsenal of skill players.

How to make Utah State vs. Boise State picks

SportsLine’s model leans towards totals, with each team using a rusher expected to generate in excess of 75 yards. The model also says that one side of the variance is true in almost 60% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s CFB picks at SportsLine.

So who will win Utah State vs. Boise State? And which side of the spread applies in almost 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Utah State vs. Boise State spread you need to jump to on Friday, all from the model who smashed his college football picks and find out and forget not to stream on Paramount+.

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